EntrepreneurShares Etf Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ENTR Etf | USD 20.51 0.05 0.24% |
EntrepreneurShares Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The relative strength momentum indicator of EntrepreneurShares' share price is at 52 suggesting that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling EntrepreneurShares, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using EntrepreneurShares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EntrepreneurShares from the perspective of EntrepreneurShares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EntrepreneurShares on the next trading day is expected to be 20.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.49. EntrepreneurShares after-hype prediction price | $ 20.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
EntrepreneurShares | Build AI portfolio with EntrepreneurShares Etf |
EntrepreneurShares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine EntrepreneurShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EntrepreneurShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze EntrepreneurShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
EntrepreneurShares Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EntrepreneurShares on the next trading day is expected to be 20.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.49.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EntrepreneurShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EntrepreneurShares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
EntrepreneurShares Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest EntrepreneurShares | EntrepreneurShares Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EntrepreneurShares etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EntrepreneurShares etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.7675 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0088 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2082 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0102 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.49 |
Predictive Modules for EntrepreneurShares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EntrepreneurShares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of EntrepreneurShares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
EntrepreneurShares After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of EntrepreneurShares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EntrepreneurShares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of EntrepreneurShares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
EntrepreneurShares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting EntrepreneurShares' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EntrepreneurShares' historical news coverage. EntrepreneurShares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.18 and 21.84, respectively. We have considered EntrepreneurShares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
EntrepreneurShares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EntrepreneurShares is based on 3 months time horizon.
EntrepreneurShares Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as EntrepreneurShares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EntrepreneurShares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EntrepreneurShares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.51 | 20.51 | 0.00 |
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EntrepreneurShares Hype Timeline
EntrepreneurShares is currently traded for 20.51. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. EntrepreneurShares is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on EntrepreneurShares is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.51. About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.58. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. EntrepreneurShares has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 306.0. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.0. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.EntrepreneurShares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to EntrepreneurShares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EntrepreneurShares' future price movements. Getting to know how EntrepreneurShares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EntrepreneurShares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FSMO | FSMO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KNCT | Invesco Next Gen | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.03 | 1.92 | (2.18) | 6.31 | |
| FIBR | iShares Fixed Income | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.22 | (0.22) | 0.33 | (0.40) | 1.17 | |
| NFO | NFO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EWRE | Invesco | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DRUP | GraniteShares ETF Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.89 | (1.99) | 4.50 | |
| GGME | Invesco Next Gen | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 1.09 | (2.13) | 4.51 | |
| PDEV | Principal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FNI | FNI | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TDSD | Exchange Traded Concepts | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
EntrepreneurShares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EntrepreneurShares etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EntrepreneurShares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EntrepreneurShares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
EntrepreneurShares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EntrepreneurShares etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EntrepreneurShares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EntrepreneurShares etf market strength indicators, traders can identify EntrepreneurShares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
EntrepreneurShares Risk Indicators
The analysis of EntrepreneurShares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EntrepreneurShares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting entrepreneurshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9711 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Variance | 1.76 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for EntrepreneurShares
The number of cover stories for EntrepreneurShares depends on current market conditions and EntrepreneurShares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EntrepreneurShares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EntrepreneurShares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
The market value of EntrepreneurShares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EntrepreneurShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EntrepreneurShares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EntrepreneurShares' true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because EntrepreneurShares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EntrepreneurShares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between EntrepreneurShares' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding EntrepreneurShares should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, EntrepreneurShares' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.