Guild Holdings Stock Forward View

Guild Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Guild price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guild using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guild charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Guild Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Guild Holdings Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Guild Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Guild Holdings Co on the next trading day is expected to be 65.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.40, mean absolute percentage error of 41.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 268.45.

Guild Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Guild Holdings

Guild Holdings Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Guild Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Guild Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Guild Holdings Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Guild Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Guild Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guild Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 23.71 66.15 108.59 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 4.20 46.64 89.08 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High -2.96 42.81 88.58 Details

Guild Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Guild Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Guild Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Guild Holdings Hype Timeline

Guild Holdings is currently traded for 66.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.07. Guild is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 8.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on Guild Holdings is about 530500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 66.08. About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.01. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Guild Holdings last dividend was issued on the 18th of August 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Guild Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Guild Holdings Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Guild Holdings Market Strength Events

Guild Holdings Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Guild Holdings

Guild Holdings Short Properties

Other Consideration for investing in Guild Stock