Mercurity Fintech Stock Forward View
| MFHDelisted Stock | USD 5.65 0.62 12.33% |
Mercurity Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mercurity Fintech's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026, the value of RSI of Mercurity Fintech's share price is approaching 43. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mercurity Fintech, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mercurity Fintech hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mercurity Fintech Holding from the perspective of Mercurity Fintech response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mercurity Fintech Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 5.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.59. Mercurity Fintech after-hype prediction price | USD 5.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mercurity |
Mercurity Fintech Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mercurity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mercurity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mercurity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mercurity Fintech Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mercurity Fintech Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 5.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65, mean absolute percentage error of 0.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.59.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mercurity Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mercurity Fintech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mercurity Fintech Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mercurity Fintech | Mercurity Fintech Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mercurity Fintech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mercurity Fintech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.6358 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.649 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0821 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 39.592 |
Predictive Modules for Mercurity Fintech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mercurity Fintech Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mercurity Fintech After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mercurity Fintech at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mercurity Fintech or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mercurity Fintech, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mercurity Fintech Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mercurity Fintech's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mercurity Fintech's historical news coverage. Mercurity Fintech's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.30 and 16.58, respectively. We have considered Mercurity Fintech's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mercurity Fintech is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mercurity Fintech Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mercurity Fintech Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mercurity Fintech is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mercurity Fintech backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mercurity Fintech, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.64 | 10.60 | 0.33 | 0.18 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.65 | 5.98 | 5.84 |
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Mercurity Fintech Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February Mercurity Fintech Holding is traded for 5.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.33, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.18. Mercurity is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.98 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 5.84%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.64%. The volatility of related hype on Mercurity Fintech is about 3706.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.47. Mercurity Fintech Holding has about 440.64 K in cash with (3.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.Mercurity Fintech Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mercurity Fintech's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mercurity Fintech's future price movements. Getting to know how Mercurity Fintech's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mercurity Fintech may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OPY | Oppenheimer Holdings | (0.61) | 7 per month | 1.39 | 0.08 | 3.11 | (2.18) | 8.88 | |
| GEMI | Gemini Space Station | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 7.34 | (10.18) | 44.06 | |
| DEFT | DeFi Technologies | (0.03) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 9.78 | (13.89) | 36.00 | |
| AMRK | Gold Inc | 0.53 | 8 per month | 6.21 | 0.17 | 7.21 | (4.46) | 10,438 | |
| AXG | Solowin Holdings | 0.09 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 10.33 | (8.38) | 34.77 | |
| TIGR | Up Fintech Holding | 0.60 | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.73 | (6.12) | 16.96 | |
| VEL | Velocity Financial Llc | 1.36 | 8 per month | 1.46 | 0.06 | 2.83 | (2.42) | 12.39 | |
| WRLD | World Acceptance | (4.83) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.13 | (5.39) | 23.16 | |
| ABTC | American Bitcoin Corp | 0.07 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 9.13 | (7.85) | 44.21 | |
| AMTB | Amerant Bancorp | (0.02) | 8 per month | 1.60 | 0.15 | 4.07 | (3.67) | 10.32 |
Mercurity Fintech Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mercurity Fintech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mercurity Fintech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mercurity Fintech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mercurity Fintech Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mercurity Fintech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mercurity Fintech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mercurity Fintech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mercurity Fintech Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Mercurity Fintech Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mercurity Fintech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mercurity Fintech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mercurity stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 8.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 11.31 | |||
| Variance | 127.89 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Mercurity Fintech
The number of cover stories for Mercurity Fintech depends on current market conditions and Mercurity Fintech's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mercurity Fintech is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mercurity Fintech's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mercurity Fintech Short Properties
Mercurity Fintech's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mercurity Fintech's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mercurity Fintech Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mercurity Fintech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mercurity Fintech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.9 M |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Other Consideration for investing in Mercurity Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Mercurity Fintech Holding check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Mercurity Fintech's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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