Roscan Gold (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0465

2OJ Stock  EUR 0.05  0  7.00%   
Roscan Gold's future price is the expected price of Roscan Gold instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Roscan Gold performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Roscan Gold Backtesting, Roscan Gold Valuation, Roscan Gold Correlation, Roscan Gold Hype Analysis, Roscan Gold Volatility, Roscan Gold History as well as Roscan Gold Performance.
  
Please specify Roscan Gold's target price for which you would like Roscan Gold odds to be computed.

Roscan Gold Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0465

The tendency of Roscan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.05 90 days 0.05 
about 1.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Roscan Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.49 (This Roscan Gold probability density function shows the probability of Roscan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Roscan Gold has a beta of 0.0257. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Roscan Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Roscan Gold will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Roscan Gold has an alpha of 1.1214, implying that it can generate a 1.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Roscan Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Roscan Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roscan Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.059.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.049.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.069.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.040.05
Details

Roscan Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Roscan Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Roscan Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Roscan Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Roscan Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Roscan Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Roscan Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Roscan Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Roscan Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Roscan Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Roscan Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Roscan Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (24.62 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (120.03 K).
Roscan Gold has accumulated about 9.4 M in cash with (24.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.

Roscan Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Roscan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Roscan Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Roscan Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding351.7 M

Roscan Gold Technical Analysis

Roscan Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Roscan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Roscan Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Roscan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Roscan Gold Predictive Forecast Models

Roscan Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Roscan Gold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Roscan Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Roscan Gold

Checking the ongoing alerts about Roscan Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Roscan Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Roscan Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Roscan Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Roscan Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Roscan Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (24.62 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (120.03 K).
Roscan Gold has accumulated about 9.4 M in cash with (24.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.

Other Information on Investing in Roscan Stock

Roscan Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Roscan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Roscan with respect to the benefits of owning Roscan Gold security.