LIWANLI Innovation (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.65
| 3054 Stock | TWD 21.05 0.20 0.94% |
LIWANLI |
LIWANLI Innovation Target Price Odds to finish over 20.65
The tendency of LIWANLI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above NT$ 20.65 in 90 days |
| 21.05 | 90 days | 20.65 | about 64.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LIWANLI Innovation to stay above NT$ 20.65 in 90 days from now is about 64.06 (This LIWANLI Innovation Co probability density function shows the probability of LIWANLI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LIWANLI Innovation price to stay between NT$ 20.65 and its current price of NT$21.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LIWANLI Innovation Co has a beta of -0.0515. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding LIWANLI Innovation are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, LIWANLI Innovation Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally LIWANLI Innovation Co has an alpha of 0.0515, implying that it can generate a 0.0515 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). LIWANLI Innovation Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LIWANLI Innovation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LIWANLI Innovation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LIWANLI Innovation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LIWANLI Innovation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LIWANLI Innovation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LIWANLI Innovation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LIWANLI Innovation Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LIWANLI Innovation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
LIWANLI Innovation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LIWANLI Innovation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LIWANLI Innovation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LIWANLI Innovation Co has accumulated about 661.45 M in cash with (61.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.93. | |
| Roughly 82.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
LIWANLI Innovation Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LIWANLI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LIWANLI Innovation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LIWANLI Innovation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81.5 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 1.8 M |
LIWANLI Innovation Technical Analysis
LIWANLI Innovation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LIWANLI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LIWANLI Innovation Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing LIWANLI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LIWANLI Innovation Predictive Forecast Models
LIWANLI Innovation's time-series forecasting models is one of many LIWANLI Innovation's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LIWANLI Innovation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LIWANLI Innovation
Checking the ongoing alerts about LIWANLI Innovation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LIWANLI Innovation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LIWANLI Innovation Co has accumulated about 661.45 M in cash with (61.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.93. | |
| Roughly 82.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Check out LIWANLI Innovation Backtesting, LIWANLI Innovation Valuation, LIWANLI Innovation Correlation, LIWANLI Innovation Hype Analysis, LIWANLI Innovation Volatility, LIWANLI Innovation History as well as LIWANLI Innovation Performance. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for LIWANLI Stock analysis
When running LIWANLI Innovation's price analysis, check to measure LIWANLI Innovation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LIWANLI Innovation is operating at the current time. Most of LIWANLI Innovation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LIWANLI Innovation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LIWANLI Innovation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LIWANLI Innovation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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