VIRGIN WINES (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.4512
| 3RW Stock | EUR 0.47 0.01 2.08% |
VIRGIN |
VIRGIN WINES Target Price Odds to finish over 0.4512
The tendency of VIRGIN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 0.45 in 90 days |
| 0.47 | 90 days | 0.45 | about 50.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VIRGIN WINES to stay above € 0.45 in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This VIRGIN WINES UK probability density function shows the probability of VIRGIN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VIRGIN WINES UK price to stay between € 0.45 and its current price of €0.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.93 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon VIRGIN WINES UK has a beta of -0.44. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VIRGIN WINES are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VIRGIN WINES UK is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VIRGIN WINES UK has an alpha of 0.6469, implying that it can generate a 0.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). VIRGIN WINES Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VIRGIN WINES
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VIRGIN WINES UK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VIRGIN WINES Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VIRGIN WINES is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VIRGIN WINES's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VIRGIN WINES UK, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VIRGIN WINES within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.65 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
VIRGIN WINES Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VIRGIN WINES for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VIRGIN WINES UK can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VIRGIN WINES UK has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| VIRGIN WINES UK had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| VIRGIN WINES UK has accumulated 15.27 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.71, which is about average as compared to similar companies. VIRGIN WINES UK has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist VIRGIN WINES until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, VIRGIN WINES's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like VIRGIN WINES UK sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for VIRGIN to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about VIRGIN WINES's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 78.0% of VIRGIN WINES shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
VIRGIN WINES Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VIRGIN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VIRGIN WINES's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VIRGIN WINES's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 17.4 M |
VIRGIN WINES Technical Analysis
VIRGIN WINES's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VIRGIN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VIRGIN WINES UK. In general, you should focus on analyzing VIRGIN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VIRGIN WINES Predictive Forecast Models
VIRGIN WINES's time-series forecasting models is one of many VIRGIN WINES's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VIRGIN WINES's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VIRGIN WINES UK
Checking the ongoing alerts about VIRGIN WINES for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VIRGIN WINES UK help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VIRGIN WINES UK has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| VIRGIN WINES UK had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| VIRGIN WINES UK has accumulated 15.27 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.71, which is about average as compared to similar companies. VIRGIN WINES UK has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist VIRGIN WINES until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, VIRGIN WINES's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like VIRGIN WINES UK sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for VIRGIN to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about VIRGIN WINES's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 78.0% of VIRGIN WINES shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Other Information on Investing in VIRGIN Stock
VIRGIN WINES financial ratios help investors to determine whether VIRGIN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VIRGIN with respect to the benefits of owning VIRGIN WINES security.