MIRAIT ONE (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.29
| 5FO Stock | EUR 14.90 0.20 1.32% |
MIRAIT |
MIRAIT ONE Target Price Odds to finish below 12.29
The tendency of MIRAIT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 12.29 or more in 90 days |
| 14.90 | 90 days | 12.29 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MIRAIT ONE to drop to € 12.29 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This MIRAIT ONE P probability density function shows the probability of MIRAIT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MIRAIT ONE P price to stay between € 12.29 and its current price of €14.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.98 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon MIRAIT ONE P has a beta of -0.0386. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MIRAIT ONE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MIRAIT ONE P is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MIRAIT ONE P has an alpha of 0.233, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MIRAIT ONE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MIRAIT ONE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MIRAIT ONE P. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MIRAIT ONE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MIRAIT ONE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MIRAIT ONE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MIRAIT ONE P, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MIRAIT ONE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
MIRAIT ONE Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MIRAIT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MIRAIT ONE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MIRAIT ONE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 45.00 | |
| Float Shares | 86.21M | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 2 | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 269.46% |
MIRAIT ONE Technical Analysis
MIRAIT ONE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MIRAIT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MIRAIT ONE P. In general, you should focus on analyzing MIRAIT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MIRAIT ONE Predictive Forecast Models
MIRAIT ONE's time-series forecasting models is one of many MIRAIT ONE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MIRAIT ONE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards MIRAIT ONE in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, MIRAIT ONE's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from MIRAIT ONE options trading.
Other Information on Investing in MIRAIT Stock
MIRAIT ONE financial ratios help investors to determine whether MIRAIT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MIRAIT with respect to the benefits of owning MIRAIT ONE security.