AFC Energy (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.72
| AFC Stock | 10.72 0.20 1.83% |
AFC |
AFC Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 10.72
The tendency of AFC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 10.72 | 90 days | 10.72 | about 60.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AFC Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 60.28 (This AFC Energy plc probability density function shows the probability of AFC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.14 . This suggests AFC Energy plc market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, AFC Energy is expected to follow. Additionally AFC Energy plc has an alpha of 0.9711, implying that it can generate a 0.97 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AFC Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AFC Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AFC Energy plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AFC Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AFC Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AFC Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AFC Energy plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AFC Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.97 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
AFC Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AFC Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AFC Energy plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AFC Energy plc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| AFC Energy plc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.31 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.87 M). | |
| AFC Energy generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: AFC Energy Announces Quarterly Earnings Results - MarketBeat |
AFC Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AFC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AFC Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AFC Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 784.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.4 M |
AFC Energy Technical Analysis
AFC Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AFC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AFC Energy plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing AFC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AFC Energy Predictive Forecast Models
AFC Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many AFC Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AFC Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AFC Energy plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about AFC Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AFC Energy plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AFC Energy plc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| AFC Energy plc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.31 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.87 M). | |
| AFC Energy generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: AFC Energy Announces Quarterly Earnings Results - MarketBeat |
Other Information on Investing in AFC Stock
AFC Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether AFC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AFC with respect to the benefits of owning AFC Energy security.