Tri Banyan (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.0
ALTO Stock | IDR 10.00 1.00 9.09% |
Tri |
Tri Banyan Target Price Odds to finish below 17.0
The tendency of Tri Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 17.00 after 90 days |
10.00 | 90 days | 17.00 | nearly 4.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tri Banyan to stay under 17.00 after 90 days from now is nearly 4.02 (This Tri Banyan Tirta probability density function shows the probability of Tri Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tri Banyan Tirta price to stay between its current price of 10.00 and 17.00 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tri Banyan has a beta of 0.85. This suggests Tri Banyan Tirta market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Tri Banyan is expected to follow. Additionally Tri Banyan Tirta has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Tri Banyan Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Tri Banyan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tri Banyan Tirta. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tri Banyan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tri Banyan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tri Banyan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tri Banyan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tri Banyan Tirta, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tri Banyan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -2.38 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 14.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.63 |
Tri Banyan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tri Banyan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tri Banyan Tirta can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Tri Banyan Tirta generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Tri Banyan Tirta has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
The company reported the revenue of 366.97 B. Net Loss for the year was (8.9 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 35.85 B. | |
About 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Tri Banyan Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tri Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tri Banyan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tri Banyan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 B | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.9 B |
Tri Banyan Technical Analysis
Tri Banyan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tri Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tri Banyan Tirta. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tri Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tri Banyan Predictive Forecast Models
Tri Banyan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tri Banyan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tri Banyan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tri Banyan Tirta
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tri Banyan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tri Banyan Tirta help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tri Banyan Tirta generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Tri Banyan Tirta has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
The company reported the revenue of 366.97 B. Net Loss for the year was (8.9 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 35.85 B. | |
About 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Tri Banyan Backtesting, Tri Banyan Valuation, Tri Banyan Correlation, Tri Banyan Hype Analysis, Tri Banyan Volatility, Tri Banyan History as well as Tri Banyan Performance. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Complementary Tools for Tri Stock analysis
When running Tri Banyan's price analysis, check to measure Tri Banyan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tri Banyan is operating at the current time. Most of Tri Banyan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tri Banyan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tri Banyan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tri Banyan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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