Anexo Group (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 60.30

ANX Stock   53.00  15.40  22.51%   
Anexo Group's future price is the expected price of Anexo Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Anexo Group Plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Anexo Group Backtesting, Anexo Group Valuation, Anexo Group Correlation, Anexo Group Hype Analysis, Anexo Group Volatility, Anexo Group History as well as Anexo Group Performance.
  
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Anexo Group Target Price Odds to finish below 60.30

The tendency of Anexo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  60.30  after 90 days
 53.00 90 days 60.30 
about 22.68
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anexo Group to stay under  60.30  after 90 days from now is about 22.68 (This Anexo Group Plc probability density function shows the probability of Anexo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Anexo Group Plc price to stay between its current price of  53.00  and  60.30  at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Anexo Group has a beta of 0.77. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Anexo Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Anexo Group Plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Anexo Group Plc has an alpha of 0.3187, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Anexo Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Anexo Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anexo Group Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.1868.3570.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.0155.1875.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
66.5668.7270.89
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.584.614.65
Details

Anexo Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anexo Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anexo Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anexo Group Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anexo Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.77
σ
Overall volatility
4.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Anexo Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anexo Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anexo Group Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Anexo Group Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Anexo Group Plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Anexo Group generates negative cash flow from operations
About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Anexo Group Extends Deadline for Potential Takeover Offer - TipRanks

Anexo Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Anexo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Anexo Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anexo Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding118 M
Cash And Short Term Investments11.3 M

Anexo Group Technical Analysis

Anexo Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anexo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anexo Group Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anexo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Anexo Group Predictive Forecast Models

Anexo Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Anexo Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anexo Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Anexo Group Plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Anexo Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anexo Group Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Anexo Group Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Anexo Group Plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Anexo Group generates negative cash flow from operations
About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Anexo Group Extends Deadline for Potential Takeover Offer - TipRanks

Other Information on Investing in Anexo Stock

Anexo Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anexo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anexo with respect to the benefits of owning Anexo Group security.