Cosmos Chance of Future Crypto Coin Price Finishing Under 12.39
| ATOM Crypto | USD 8.29 0.10 1.19% |
Cosmos |
Cosmos Target Price Odds to finish below 12.39
The tendency of Cosmos Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 12.39 after 90 days |
| 8.29 | 90 days | 12.39 | about 84.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cosmos to stay under $ 12.39 after 90 days from now is about 84.92 (This Cosmos probability density function shows the probability of Cosmos Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cosmos price to stay between its current price of $ 8.29 and $ 12.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the crypto coin has the beta coefficient of 1.71 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cosmos will likely underperform. Additionally Cosmos has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Cosmos Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cosmos
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cosmos. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cosmos' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cosmos Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cosmos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cosmos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cosmos, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cosmos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Cosmos Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cosmos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cosmos can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cosmos generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cosmos has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CoinWire Bitcoin halving interest doubled since 2020 - crypto.news |
Cosmos Technical Analysis
Cosmos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cosmos Crypto Coin technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cosmos. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cosmos Crypto Coin price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cosmos Predictive Forecast Models
Cosmos' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cosmos' crypto coin analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cosmos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the crypto coin market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cosmos
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cosmos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cosmos help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cosmos generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cosmos has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CoinWire Bitcoin halving interest doubled since 2020 - crypto.news |
Check out Cosmos Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Cosmos Correlation, Cryptocurrency Center, Cosmos Volatility, Cosmos History as well as Cosmos Performance. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.