AVE SA (Greece) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.44
| AVE Stock | EUR 0.52 0.01 1.89% |
AVE |
AVE SA Target Price Odds to finish over 0.44
The tendency of AVE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 0.44 in 90 days |
| 0.52 | 90 days | 0.44 | about 90.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AVE SA to stay above € 0.44 in 90 days from now is about 90.5 (This AVE SA probability density function shows the probability of AVE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AVE SA price to stay between € 0.44 and its current price of €0.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AVE SA has a beta of -0.22. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AVE SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AVE SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AVE SA has an alpha of 0.3744, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AVE SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AVE SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AVE SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AVE SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AVE SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AVE SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AVE SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AVE SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
AVE SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AVE SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AVE SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AVE SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AVE SA has accumulated 90.59 M in total debt. AVE SA has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AVE SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AVE SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AVE SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AVE to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AVE SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 129.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.19 M. | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
AVE SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AVE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AVE SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AVE SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 74.5 M |
AVE SA Technical Analysis
AVE SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AVE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AVE SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing AVE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AVE SA Predictive Forecast Models
AVE SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many AVE SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AVE SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AVE SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about AVE SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AVE SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AVE SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AVE SA has accumulated 90.59 M in total debt. AVE SA has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AVE SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AVE SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AVE SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AVE to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AVE SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 129.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.19 M. | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for AVE Stock Analysis
When running AVE SA's price analysis, check to measure AVE SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AVE SA is operating at the current time. Most of AVE SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AVE SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AVE SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AVE SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.