Baron India Institutional Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.52

BINDX Fund   9.54  0.06  0.63%   
Baron India's future price is the expected price of Baron India instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Baron India Institutional performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Baron India Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Baron India Correlation, Baron India Hype Analysis, Baron India Volatility, Baron India History as well as Baron India Performance.
  
Please specify Baron India's target price for which you would like Baron India odds to be computed.

Baron India Target Price Odds to finish below 9.52

The tendency of Baron Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  9.52  or more in 90 days
 9.54 90 days 9.52 
about 60.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baron India to drop to  9.52  or more in 90 days from now is about 60.4 (This Baron India Institutional probability density function shows the probability of Baron Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baron India Institutional price to stay between  9.52  and its current price of 9.54 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.19 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Baron India has a beta of 0.0513 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Baron India average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Baron India Institutional will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Baron India Institutional has an alpha of 0.0882, implying that it can generate a 0.0882 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Baron India Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Baron India

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baron India Institutional. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Baron India's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.769.5410.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.749.5210.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.589.3610.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.359.609.86
Details

Baron India Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baron India is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baron India's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baron India Institutional, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baron India within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Baron India Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baron India for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baron India Institutional can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Baron India Technical Analysis

Baron India's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baron Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baron India Institutional. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baron Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Baron India Predictive Forecast Models

Baron India's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baron India's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baron India's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Baron India Institutional

Checking the ongoing alerts about Baron India for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baron India Institutional help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Baron Mutual Fund

Baron India financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baron Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baron with respect to the benefits of owning Baron India security.
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