BLE Kedros (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.69

BLEKEDROS   4.03  0.02  0.50%   
BLE Kedros' future price is the expected price of BLE Kedros instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BLE Kedros REIC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BLE Kedros Backtesting, BLE Kedros Valuation, BLE Kedros Correlation, BLE Kedros Hype Analysis, BLE Kedros Volatility, BLE Kedros History as well as BLE Kedros Performance.
  
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BLE Kedros Target Price Odds to finish below 4.69

The tendency of BLE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  4.69  after 90 days
 4.03 90 days 4.69 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BLE Kedros to stay under  4.69  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This BLE Kedros REIC probability density function shows the probability of BLE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BLE Kedros REIC price to stay between its current price of  4.03  and  4.69  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BLE Kedros REIC has a beta of -0.0082 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BLE Kedros are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BLE Kedros REIC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BLE Kedros REIC has an alpha of 0.0561, implying that it can generate a 0.0561 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BLE Kedros Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BLE Kedros

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BLE Kedros REIC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BLE Kedros' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.874.034.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.833.994.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.854.024.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.964.004.03
Details

BLE Kedros Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BLE Kedros is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BLE Kedros' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BLE Kedros REIC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BLE Kedros within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0082
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.92

BLE Kedros Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BLE Kedros for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BLE Kedros REIC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

BLE Kedros Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BLE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BLE Kedros' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BLE Kedros' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0732
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.16

BLE Kedros Technical Analysis

BLE Kedros' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BLE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BLE Kedros REIC. In general, you should focus on analyzing BLE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BLE Kedros Predictive Forecast Models

BLE Kedros' time-series forecasting models is one of many BLE Kedros' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BLE Kedros' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BLE Kedros REIC

Checking the ongoing alerts about BLE Kedros for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BLE Kedros REIC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for BLE Stock Analysis

When running BLE Kedros' price analysis, check to measure BLE Kedros' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BLE Kedros is operating at the current time. Most of BLE Kedros' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BLE Kedros' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BLE Kedros' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BLE Kedros to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.