Karsten SA (Brazil) Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 18.5
| CTKA4 Preferred Stock | BRL 19.00 0.45 2.31% |
Karsten |
Karsten SA Target Price Odds to finish over 18.5
The tendency of Karsten Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above R$ 18.50 in 90 days |
| 19.00 | 90 days | 18.50 | about 37.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Karsten SA to stay above R$ 18.50 in 90 days from now is about 37.06 (This Karsten SA probability density function shows the probability of Karsten Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Karsten SA price to stay between R$ 18.50 and its current price of R$19.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Karsten SA has a beta of 0.0307 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Karsten SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Karsten SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Karsten SA has an alpha of 0.1422, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Karsten SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Karsten SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Karsten SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Karsten SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Karsten SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Karsten SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Karsten SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Karsten SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Karsten SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Karsten SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Karsten SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Karsten SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Karsten SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 480 M in total debt. Karsten SA has a current ratio of 0.34, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Karsten SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Karsten SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Karsten SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Karsten to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Karsten SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Karsten SA has accumulated about 3.09 M in cash with (6.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.25. | |
| Roughly 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Karsten SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Karsten Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Karsten SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Karsten SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.1 M |
Karsten SA Technical Analysis
Karsten SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Karsten Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Karsten SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Karsten Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Karsten SA Predictive Forecast Models
Karsten SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Karsten SA's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Karsten SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Karsten SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Karsten SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Karsten SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Karsten SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 480 M in total debt. Karsten SA has a current ratio of 0.34, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Karsten SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Karsten SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Karsten SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Karsten to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Karsten SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Karsten SA has accumulated about 3.09 M in cash with (6.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.25. | |
| Roughly 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Karsten SA Backtesting, Karsten SA Valuation, Karsten SA Correlation, Karsten SA Hype Analysis, Karsten SA Volatility, Karsten SA History as well as Karsten SA Performance. Note that the Karsten SA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Karsten SA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Complementary Tools for Karsten Preferred Stock analysis
When running Karsten SA's price analysis, check to measure Karsten SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Karsten SA is operating at the current time. Most of Karsten SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Karsten SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Karsten SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Karsten SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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