Cyberagent Adr Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 3.6
| CYGIY Stock | USD 3.60 0.43 13.56% |
CyberAgent |
CyberAgent ADR Target Price Odds to finish below 3.6
The tendency of CyberAgent Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 3.60 | 90 days | 3.60 | about 82.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CyberAgent ADR to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 82.6 (This CyberAgent ADR probability density function shows the probability of CyberAgent Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CyberAgent ADR has a beta of 0.16 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CyberAgent ADR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CyberAgent ADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CyberAgent ADR has an alpha of 0.2684, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CyberAgent ADR Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CyberAgent ADR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CyberAgent ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CyberAgent ADR's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CyberAgent ADR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CyberAgent ADR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CyberAgent ADR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CyberAgent ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CyberAgent ADR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
CyberAgent ADR Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CyberAgent Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CyberAgent ADR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CyberAgent ADR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 182.4 B |
CyberAgent ADR Technical Analysis
CyberAgent ADR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CyberAgent Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CyberAgent ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing CyberAgent Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CyberAgent ADR Predictive Forecast Models
CyberAgent ADR's time-series forecasting models is one of many CyberAgent ADR's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CyberAgent ADR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards CyberAgent ADR in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, CyberAgent ADR's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from CyberAgent ADR options trading.
Check out CyberAgent ADR Backtesting, CyberAgent ADR Valuation, CyberAgent ADR Correlation, CyberAgent ADR Hype Analysis, CyberAgent ADR Volatility, CyberAgent ADR History as well as CyberAgent ADR Performance. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Complementary Tools for CyberAgent Pink Sheet analysis
When running CyberAgent ADR's price analysis, check to measure CyberAgent ADR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CyberAgent ADR is operating at the current time. Most of CyberAgent ADR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CyberAgent ADR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CyberAgent ADR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CyberAgent ADR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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