World Ex Val Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 15.30

DFWVX Fund  USD 15.30  0.03  0.20%   
World Ex's future price is the expected price of World Ex instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of World Ex Val performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out World Ex Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, World Ex Correlation, World Ex Hype Analysis, World Ex Volatility, World Ex History as well as World Ex Performance.
  
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World Ex Target Price Odds to finish over 15.30

The tendency of World Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.30 90 days 15.30 
about 11.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of World Ex to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.51 (This World Ex Val probability density function shows the probability of World Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon World Ex Val has a beta of -0.0638 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding World Ex are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, World Ex Val is likely to outperform the market. Additionally World Ex Val has an alpha of 0.2154, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   World Ex Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for World Ex

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as World Ex Val. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of World Ex's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.7215.3015.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.3313.9116.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.6015.1715.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.1915.3215.46
Details

World Ex Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. World Ex is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the World Ex's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold World Ex Val, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of World Ex within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

World Ex Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of World Ex for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for World Ex Val can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.69% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

World Ex Technical Analysis

World Ex's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. World Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of World Ex Val. In general, you should focus on analyzing World Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

World Ex Predictive Forecast Models

World Ex's time-series forecasting models is one of many World Ex's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary World Ex's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about World Ex Val

Checking the ongoing alerts about World Ex for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for World Ex Val help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.69% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in World Mutual Fund

World Ex financial ratios help investors to determine whether World Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in World with respect to the benefits of owning World Ex security.
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