DLF (India) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 845.20

DLF Stock   845.20  1.85  0.22%   
DLF's future price is the expected price of DLF instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DLF Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DLF Backtesting, DLF Valuation, DLF Correlation, DLF Hype Analysis, DLF Volatility, DLF History as well as DLF Performance.
  
Please specify DLF's target price for which you would like DLF odds to be computed.

DLF Target Price Odds to finish over 845.20

The tendency of DLF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 845.20 90 days 845.20 
about 19.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DLF to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.3 (This DLF Limited probability density function shows the probability of DLF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DLF has a beta of 0.22 suggesting as returns on the market go up, DLF average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DLF Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally DLF Limited has an alpha of 0.3635, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   DLF Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DLF

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DLF Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
839.98841.94929.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
760.68943.76945.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
863.04865.01866.97
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.454.335.15
Details

DLF Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DLF is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DLF's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DLF Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DLF within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
76.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

DLF Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DLF for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DLF Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DLF Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Macro Trends and Their Impact on DLF Limited - Lightning-fast capital gains - Jammu Links News

DLF Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DLF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DLF's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DLF's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments46.9 B

DLF Technical Analysis

DLF's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DLF Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DLF Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing DLF Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DLF Predictive Forecast Models

DLF's time-series forecasting models is one of many DLF's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DLF's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DLF Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about DLF for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DLF Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DLF Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Macro Trends and Their Impact on DLF Limited - Lightning-fast capital gains - Jammu Links News

Other Information on Investing in DLF Stock

DLF financial ratios help investors to determine whether DLF Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DLF with respect to the benefits of owning DLF security.