Fidelity Greater Canada Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 12.93

FCGC Etf   12.93  0.19  1.49%   
Fidelity Greater's future price is the expected price of Fidelity Greater instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fidelity Greater Canada performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fidelity Greater Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fidelity Greater Correlation, Fidelity Greater Hype Analysis, Fidelity Greater Volatility, Fidelity Greater History as well as Fidelity Greater Performance.
  
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Fidelity Greater Target Price Odds to finish over 12.93

The tendency of Fidelity Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.93 90 days 12.93 
about 8.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fidelity Greater to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.35 (This Fidelity Greater Canada probability density function shows the probability of Fidelity Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fidelity Greater has a beta of 0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fidelity Greater average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fidelity Greater Canada will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fidelity Greater Canada has an alpha of 0.1845, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fidelity Greater Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fidelity Greater

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidelity Greater Canada. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.8912.9213.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6414.0915.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.7012.7213.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.7012.8312.96
Details

Fidelity Greater Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fidelity Greater is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fidelity Greater's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fidelity Greater Canada, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fidelity Greater within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Fidelity Greater Technical Analysis

Fidelity Greater's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fidelity Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fidelity Greater Canada. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fidelity Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fidelity Greater Predictive Forecast Models

Fidelity Greater's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fidelity Greater's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fidelity Greater's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Fidelity Greater in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Fidelity Greater's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Fidelity Greater options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Etf

Fidelity Greater financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Greater security.