Full Metal Minerals Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0162

FLMTF Stock  USD 0.02  0.00  0.00%   
Full Metal's future price is the expected price of Full Metal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Full Metal Minerals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Full Metal Backtesting, Full Metal Valuation, Full Metal Correlation, Full Metal Hype Analysis, Full Metal Volatility, Full Metal History as well as Full Metal Performance.
  
Please specify Full Metal's target price for which you would like Full Metal odds to be computed.

Full Metal Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0162

The tendency of Full Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.02  or more in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 0.02 
about 10.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Full Metal to drop to $ 0.02  or more in 90 days from now is about 10.51 (This Full Metal Minerals probability density function shows the probability of Full Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Full Metal Minerals price to stay between $ 0.02  and its current price of $0.0169 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.14 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 3.4 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Full Metal will likely underperform. Additionally Full Metal Minerals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Full Metal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Full Metal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Full Metal Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Full Metal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0213.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0213.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00030.0213.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.020.03
Details

Full Metal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Full Metal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Full Metal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Full Metal Minerals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Full Metal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.40
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Full Metal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Full Metal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Full Metal Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Full Metal Minerals is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Full Metal Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Full Metal Minerals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (629.66 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (113.75 K).
Full Metal Minerals has accumulated about 186.02 K in cash with (875.12 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Full Metal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Full Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Full Metal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Full Metal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59.2 M

Full Metal Technical Analysis

Full Metal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Full Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Full Metal Minerals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Full Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Full Metal Predictive Forecast Models

Full Metal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Full Metal's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Full Metal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Full Metal Minerals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Full Metal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Full Metal Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Full Metal Minerals is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Full Metal Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Full Metal Minerals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (629.66 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (113.75 K).
Full Metal Minerals has accumulated about 186.02 K in cash with (875.12 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Full Pink Sheet

Full Metal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Full Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Full with respect to the benefits of owning Full Metal security.