Gateway International Fund Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 9.93
| GAICX Etf | USD 9.95 0.01 0.10% |
GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL Target Price Odds to finish below 9.93
The tendency of GATEWAY Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.93 or more in 90 days |
| 9.95 | 90 days | 9.93 | about 82.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL to drop to $ 9.93 or more in 90 days from now is about 82.62 (This GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL FUND probability density function shows the probability of GATEWAY Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL price to stay between $ 9.93 and its current price of $9.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.83 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL has a beta of 0.0098. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL FUND will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL FUND has an alpha of 0.0103, implying that it can generate a 0.0103 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL FUND, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -1.02 |
GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains about 78.09% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL Technical Analysis
GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GATEWAY Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL FUND. In general, you should focus on analyzing GATEWAY Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL Predictive Forecast Models
GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL's time-series forecasting models is one of many GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL
Checking the ongoing alerts about GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains about 78.09% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in GATEWAY Etf
GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL financial ratios help investors to determine whether GATEWAY Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GATEWAY with respect to the benefits of owning GATEWAY INTERNATIONAL security.