General Dynamics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 281.11

GD Stock  USD 288.14  0.78  0.27%   
General Dynamics' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on General Dynamics. Implied volatility approximates the future value of General Dynamics based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in General Dynamics over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-10 CALL at $287.5 is a CALL option contract on General Dynamics' common stock with a strick price of 287.5 expiring on 2024-05-10. The contract was last traded on 2024-05-03 at 15:53:34 for $2.55 and, as of today, has 5 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.2, and an ask price of $2.95. The implied volatility as of the 5th of May is 14.45. View All General options

Closest to current price General long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

General Dynamics' future price is the expected price of General Dynamics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of General Dynamics performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out General Dynamics Backtesting, General Dynamics Valuation, General Dynamics Correlation, General Dynamics Hype Analysis, General Dynamics Volatility, General Dynamics History as well as General Dynamics Performance.
For information on how to trade General Stock refer to our How to Trade General Stock guide.
  
At present, General Dynamics' Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. Please specify General Dynamics' target price for which you would like General Dynamics odds to be computed.

General Dynamics Target Price Odds to finish over 281.11

The tendency of General Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 281.11  in 90 days
 288.14 90 days 281.11 
about 36.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of General Dynamics to stay above $ 281.11  in 90 days from now is about 36.15 (This General Dynamics probability density function shows the probability of General Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of General Dynamics price to stay between $ 281.11  and its current price of $288.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.54 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon General Dynamics has a beta of 0.35. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, General Dynamics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding General Dynamics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally General Dynamics has an alpha of 0.1039, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   General Dynamics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for General Dynamics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as General Dynamics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of General Dynamics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
287.27288.14289.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
260.39261.26316.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
289.92290.78291.65
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
228.20250.77278.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as General Dynamics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against General Dynamics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, General Dynamics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in General Dynamics.

General Dynamics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. General Dynamics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the General Dynamics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold General Dynamics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of General Dynamics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.10
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.35
σ
Overall volatility
8.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

General Dynamics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of General Dynamics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for General Dynamics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Military shipbuilder Huntington beats Q1 estimates on demand for aircraft carriers

General Dynamics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of General Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential General Dynamics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General Dynamics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding275.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B

General Dynamics Technical Analysis

General Dynamics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. General Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of General Dynamics. In general, you should focus on analyzing General Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

General Dynamics Predictive Forecast Models

General Dynamics' time-series forecasting models is one of many General Dynamics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary General Dynamics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about General Dynamics

Checking the ongoing alerts about General Dynamics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for General Dynamics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Military shipbuilder Huntington beats Q1 estimates on demand for aircraft carriers
When determining whether General Dynamics is a strong investment it is important to analyze General Dynamics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact General Dynamics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding General Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out General Dynamics Backtesting, General Dynamics Valuation, General Dynamics Correlation, General Dynamics Hype Analysis, General Dynamics Volatility, General Dynamics History as well as General Dynamics Performance.
For information on how to trade General Stock refer to our How to Trade General Stock guide.
Note that the General Dynamics information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other General Dynamics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

Complementary Tools for General Stock analysis

When running General Dynamics' price analysis, check to measure General Dynamics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy General Dynamics is operating at the current time. Most of General Dynamics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of General Dynamics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move General Dynamics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of General Dynamics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is General Dynamics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of General Dynamics. If investors know General will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about General Dynamics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.091
Dividend Share
5.38
Earnings Share
12.25
Revenue Per Share
157.947
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.086
The market value of General Dynamics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of General that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of General Dynamics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is General Dynamics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because General Dynamics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect General Dynamics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between General Dynamics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if General Dynamics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, General Dynamics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.