Gecina SA (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 93.95
| GFC Stock | EUR 98.65 1.45 1.49% |
Gecina |
Gecina SA Target Price Odds to finish below 93.95
The tendency of Gecina Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 93.95 or more in 90 days |
| 98.65 | 90 days | 93.95 | about 70.05 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gecina SA to drop to € 93.95 or more in 90 days from now is about 70.05 (This Gecina SA probability density function shows the probability of Gecina Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gecina SA price to stay between € 93.95 and its current price of €98.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gecina SA has a beta of 0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gecina SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gecina SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gecina SA has an alpha of 0.0179, implying that it can generate a 0.0179 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gecina SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gecina SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gecina SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gecina SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gecina SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gecina SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gecina SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gecina SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gecina SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Gecina SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gecina SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gecina SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has accumulated 5.3 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.62, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Gecina SA has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Gecina SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gecina SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gecina SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gecina to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gecina SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 15.0% of Gecina SA shares are held by company insiders |
Gecina SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gecina Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gecina SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gecina SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 73.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 50.6 M |
Gecina SA Technical Analysis
Gecina SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gecina Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gecina SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gecina Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gecina SA Predictive Forecast Models
Gecina SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gecina SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gecina SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gecina SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gecina SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gecina SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has accumulated 5.3 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.62, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Gecina SA has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Gecina SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gecina SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gecina SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gecina to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gecina SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 15.0% of Gecina SA shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Gecina SA Backtesting, Gecina SA Valuation, Gecina SA Correlation, Gecina SA Hype Analysis, Gecina SA Volatility, Gecina SA History as well as Gecina SA Performance. Note that the Gecina SA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Gecina SA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Gecina Stock analysis
When running Gecina SA's price analysis, check to measure Gecina SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gecina SA is operating at the current time. Most of Gecina SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gecina SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gecina SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gecina SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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