Intermediate Capital (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.20

I2X2 Stock   24.20  0.60  2.54%   
Intermediate Capital's future price is the expected price of Intermediate Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Intermediate Capital Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Intermediate Capital Backtesting, Intermediate Capital Valuation, Intermediate Capital Correlation, Intermediate Capital Hype Analysis, Intermediate Capital Volatility, Intermediate Capital History as well as Intermediate Capital Performance.
  
Please specify Intermediate Capital's target price for which you would like Intermediate Capital odds to be computed.

Intermediate Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 24.20

The tendency of Intermediate Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 24.20 90 days 24.20 
roughly 2.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intermediate Capital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.5 (This Intermediate Capital Group probability density function shows the probability of Intermediate Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Intermediate Capital Group has a beta of -0.43. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Intermediate Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Intermediate Capital Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Intermediate Capital Group has an alpha of 0.4369, implying that it can generate a 0.44 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Intermediate Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Intermediate Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intermediate Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.0024.2026.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.0523.2525.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.5624.7626.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.9522.6124.28
Details

Intermediate Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intermediate Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intermediate Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intermediate Capital Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intermediate Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.43
σ
Overall volatility
0.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Intermediate Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intermediate Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intermediate Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intermediate Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding290.6 M
Dividend Yield0.0363

Intermediate Capital Technical Analysis

Intermediate Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intermediate Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intermediate Capital Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intermediate Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Intermediate Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Intermediate Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intermediate Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intermediate Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Intermediate Capital in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Intermediate Capital's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Intermediate Capital options trading.

Additional Tools for Intermediate Stock Analysis

When running Intermediate Capital's price analysis, check to measure Intermediate Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intermediate Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Intermediate Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intermediate Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intermediate Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intermediate Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.