Alphacentric Income Opportunities Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 7.6
| IOFAX Fund | USD 7.55 0.01 0.13% |
Alphacentric |
Alphacentric Income Target Price Odds to finish below 7.6
The tendency of Alphacentric Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 7.60 after 90 days |
| 7.55 | 90 days | 7.60 | about 9.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alphacentric Income to stay under $ 7.60 after 90 days from now is about 9.6 (This Alphacentric Income Opportunities probability density function shows the probability of Alphacentric Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alphacentric Income price to stay between its current price of $ 7.55 and $ 7.60 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.21 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Alphacentric Income has a beta of 0.0834. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Alphacentric Income average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alphacentric Income Opportunities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alphacentric Income Opportunities has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Alphacentric Income Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alphacentric Income
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alphacentric Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alphacentric Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alphacentric Income Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alphacentric Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alphacentric Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alphacentric Income Opportunities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alphacentric Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.47 |
Alphacentric Income Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alphacentric Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alphacentric Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alphacentric Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alphacentric Income generated five year return of -5.0% | |
| This fund retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments. |
Alphacentric Income Technical Analysis
Alphacentric Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alphacentric Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alphacentric Income Opportunities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alphacentric Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alphacentric Income Predictive Forecast Models
Alphacentric Income's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alphacentric Income's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alphacentric Income's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alphacentric Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alphacentric Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alphacentric Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alphacentric Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alphacentric Income generated five year return of -5.0% | |
| This fund retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments. |
Check out Alphacentric Income Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Alphacentric Income Correlation, Alphacentric Income Hype Analysis, Alphacentric Income Volatility, Alphacentric Income History as well as Alphacentric Income Performance. Note that the Alphacentric Income information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Alphacentric Income's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.