DMS Propertindo (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.0
| KOTA Stock | 7.00 1.00 12.50% |
DMS |
DMS Propertindo Target Price Odds to finish over 17.0
The tendency of DMS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 17.00 or more in 90 days |
| 7.00 | 90 days | 17.00 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DMS Propertindo to move over 17.00 or more in 90 days from now is under 95 (This DMS Propertindo Tbk probability density function shows the probability of DMS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DMS Propertindo Tbk price to stay between its current price of 7.00 and 17.00 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.26 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, DMS Propertindo will likely underperform. Additionally DMS Propertindo Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. DMS Propertindo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DMS Propertindo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DMS Propertindo Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DMS Propertindo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DMS Propertindo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DMS Propertindo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DMS Propertindo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DMS Propertindo Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DMS Propertindo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -2.72 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 14.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.68 |
DMS Propertindo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DMS Propertindo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DMS Propertindo Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DMS Propertindo Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| DMS Propertindo Tbk has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (15.2 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.79 B. | |
| About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
DMS Propertindo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DMS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DMS Propertindo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DMS Propertindo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.5 B |
DMS Propertindo Technical Analysis
DMS Propertindo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DMS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DMS Propertindo Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing DMS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
DMS Propertindo Predictive Forecast Models
DMS Propertindo's time-series forecasting models is one of many DMS Propertindo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DMS Propertindo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about DMS Propertindo Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about DMS Propertindo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DMS Propertindo Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| DMS Propertindo Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| DMS Propertindo Tbk has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (15.2 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.79 B. | |
| About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out DMS Propertindo Backtesting, DMS Propertindo Valuation, DMS Propertindo Correlation, DMS Propertindo Hype Analysis, DMS Propertindo Volatility, DMS Propertindo History as well as DMS Propertindo Performance. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for DMS Stock analysis
When running DMS Propertindo's price analysis, check to measure DMS Propertindo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DMS Propertindo is operating at the current time. Most of DMS Propertindo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DMS Propertindo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DMS Propertindo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DMS Propertindo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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