SANLAM (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.13

LA6S Stock  EUR 8.15  0.10  1.21%   
SANLAM's future price is the expected price of SANLAM instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SANLAM LTD RC 01 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SANLAM Backtesting, SANLAM Valuation, SANLAM Correlation, SANLAM Hype Analysis, SANLAM Volatility, SANLAM History as well as SANLAM Performance.
  
Please specify SANLAM's target price for which you would like SANLAM odds to be computed.

SANLAM Target Price Odds to finish below 5.13

The tendency of SANLAM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 5.13  or more in 90 days
 8.15 90 days 5.13 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SANLAM to drop to € 5.13  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SANLAM LTD RC 01 probability density function shows the probability of SANLAM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SANLAM LTD RC price to stay between € 5.13  and its current price of €8.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SANLAM LTD RC 01 has a beta of -0.0295. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SANLAM are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SANLAM LTD RC 01 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SANLAM LTD RC 01 has an alpha of 0.1563, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SANLAM Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SANLAM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SANLAM LTD RC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SANLAM's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.001.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.001.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.548.259.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.938.198.45
Details

SANLAM Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SANLAM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SANLAM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SANLAM LTD RC 01, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SANLAM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

SANLAM Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SANLAM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SANLAM LTD RC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SANLAM LTD RC 01 has accumulated about 57.15 B in cash with (7.39 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 55.38, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

SANLAM Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SANLAM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SANLAM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SANLAM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0734
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.42
Shares Float851.3 M

SANLAM Technical Analysis

SANLAM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SANLAM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SANLAM LTD RC 01. In general, you should focus on analyzing SANLAM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SANLAM Predictive Forecast Models

SANLAM's time-series forecasting models is one of many SANLAM's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SANLAM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SANLAM LTD RC

Checking the ongoing alerts about SANLAM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SANLAM LTD RC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SANLAM LTD RC 01 has accumulated about 57.15 B in cash with (7.39 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 55.38, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Other Information on Investing in SANLAM Stock

SANLAM financial ratios help investors to determine whether SANLAM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SANLAM with respect to the benefits of owning SANLAM security.