Lincoln Inflation Plus Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.83
| LFTAX Fund | 10.29 0.02 0.19% |
Lincoln |
Lincoln Inflation Target Price Odds to finish below 9.83
The tendency of Lincoln Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 9.83 or more in 90 days |
| 10.29 | 90 days | 9.83 | roughly 2.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lincoln Inflation to drop to 9.83 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.6 (This Lincoln Inflation Plus probability density function shows the probability of Lincoln Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lincoln Inflation Plus price to stay between 9.83 and its current price of 10.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.96 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lincoln Inflation has a beta of 0.0278. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lincoln Inflation average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lincoln Inflation Plus will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lincoln Inflation Plus has an alpha of 0.0538, implying that it can generate a 0.0538 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lincoln Inflation Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lincoln Inflation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lincoln Inflation Plus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lincoln Inflation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lincoln Inflation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lincoln Inflation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lincoln Inflation Plus, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lincoln Inflation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.28 |
Lincoln Inflation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lincoln Inflation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lincoln Inflation Plus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated five year return of -2.0% | |
| Lincoln Inflation Plus maintains about 6.13% of its assets in cash |
Lincoln Inflation Technical Analysis
Lincoln Inflation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lincoln Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lincoln Inflation Plus. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lincoln Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lincoln Inflation Predictive Forecast Models
Lincoln Inflation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lincoln Inflation's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lincoln Inflation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lincoln Inflation Plus
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lincoln Inflation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lincoln Inflation Plus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated five year return of -2.0% | |
| Lincoln Inflation Plus maintains about 6.13% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Lincoln Mutual Fund
Lincoln Inflation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lincoln Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lincoln with respect to the benefits of owning Lincoln Inflation security.
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