MarketAxess Holdings (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.02
| M1KT34 Stock | BRL 24.31 0.00 0.00% |
MarketAxess |
MarketAxess Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 24.02
The tendency of MarketAxess Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 24.02 or more in 90 days |
| 24.31 | 90 days | 24.02 | roughly 2.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MarketAxess Holdings to drop to R$ 24.02 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.15 (This MarketAxess Holdings probability density function shows the probability of MarketAxess Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MarketAxess Holdings price to stay between R$ 24.02 and its current price of R$24.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MarketAxess Holdings has a beta of -0.034. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MarketAxess Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MarketAxess Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MarketAxess Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MarketAxess Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MarketAxess Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MarketAxess Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MarketAxess Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MarketAxess Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MarketAxess Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MarketAxess Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MarketAxess Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.64 |
MarketAxess Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MarketAxess Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MarketAxess Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MarketAxess Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
MarketAxess Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MarketAxess Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MarketAxess Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MarketAxess Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 2.46 | |
| Float Shares | 36.95M | |
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 5 | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 3 | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 5.53% |
MarketAxess Holdings Technical Analysis
MarketAxess Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MarketAxess Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MarketAxess Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing MarketAxess Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MarketAxess Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
MarketAxess Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many MarketAxess Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MarketAxess Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MarketAxess Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about MarketAxess Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MarketAxess Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MarketAxess Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in MarketAxess Stock
When determining whether MarketAxess Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of MarketAxess Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Marketaxess Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Marketaxess Holdings Stock:Check out MarketAxess Holdings Backtesting, MarketAxess Holdings Valuation, MarketAxess Holdings Correlation, MarketAxess Holdings Hype Analysis, MarketAxess Holdings Volatility, MarketAxess Holdings History as well as MarketAxess Holdings Performance. For information on how to trade MarketAxess Stock refer to our How to Trade MarketAxess Stock guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.