Monongahela All Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 20.43
| MCMVX Fund | USD 20.64 0.04 0.19% |
Monongahela |
Monongahela All Target Price Odds to finish over 20.43
The tendency of Monongahela Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 20.43 in 90 days |
| 20.64 | 90 days | 20.43 | about 14.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Monongahela All to stay above $ 20.43 in 90 days from now is about 14.65 (This Monongahela All Cap probability density function shows the probability of Monongahela Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Monongahela All Cap price to stay between $ 20.43 and its current price of $20.64 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.41 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Monongahela All has a beta of 0.98. This indicates Monongahela All Cap market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Monongahela All is expected to follow. Additionally Monongahela All Cap has an alpha of 0.0871, implying that it can generate a 0.0871 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Monongahela All Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Monongahela All
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Monongahela All Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Monongahela All's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Monongahela All Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Monongahela All is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Monongahela All's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Monongahela All Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Monongahela All within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Monongahela All Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Monongahela All for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Monongahela All Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Monongahela All Technical Analysis
Monongahela All's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Monongahela Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Monongahela All Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Monongahela Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Monongahela All Predictive Forecast Models
Monongahela All's time-series forecasting models is one of many Monongahela All's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Monongahela All's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Monongahela All Cap
Checking the ongoing alerts about Monongahela All for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Monongahela All Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Other Information on Investing in Monongahela Mutual Fund
Monongahela All financial ratios help investors to determine whether Monongahela Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Monongahela with respect to the benefits of owning Monongahela All security.
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