Matthews Emerging Markets Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 13.64
| MEGMX Fund | USD 15.24 0.01 0.07% |
Matthews |
Matthews Emerging Target Price Odds to finish below 13.64
The tendency of Matthews Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 13.64 or more in 90 days |
| 15.24 | 90 days | 13.64 | about 18.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Matthews Emerging to drop to $ 13.64 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.4 (This Matthews Emerging Markets probability density function shows the probability of Matthews Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Matthews Emerging Markets price to stay between $ 13.64 and its current price of $15.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.13 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Matthews Emerging has a beta of 0.37. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Matthews Emerging average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Matthews Emerging Markets will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Matthews Emerging Markets has an alpha of 0.205, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Matthews Emerging Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Matthews Emerging
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Matthews Emerging Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Matthews Emerging Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Matthews Emerging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Matthews Emerging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Matthews Emerging Markets, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Matthews Emerging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Matthews Emerging Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Matthews Emerging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Matthews Emerging Markets can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Matthews Emerging Technical Analysis
Matthews Emerging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Matthews Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Matthews Emerging Markets. In general, you should focus on analyzing Matthews Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Matthews Emerging Predictive Forecast Models
Matthews Emerging's time-series forecasting models is one of many Matthews Emerging's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Matthews Emerging's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Matthews Emerging Markets
Checking the ongoing alerts about Matthews Emerging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Matthews Emerging Markets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Other Information on Investing in Matthews Mutual Fund
Matthews Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Matthews Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Matthews with respect to the benefits of owning Matthews Emerging security.
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