Andalan Perkasa (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.0
NASA Stock | IDR 12.00 1.00 7.69% |
Andalan |
Andalan Perkasa Target Price Odds to finish below 12.0
The tendency of Andalan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
12.00 | 90 days | 12.00 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Andalan Perkasa to move below current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Andalan Perkasa Abadi probability density function shows the probability of Andalan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Andalan Perkasa has a beta of 0.37. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Andalan Perkasa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Andalan Perkasa Abadi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Andalan Perkasa Abadi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Andalan Perkasa Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Andalan Perkasa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Andalan Perkasa Abadi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Andalan Perkasa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Andalan Perkasa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Andalan Perkasa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Andalan Perkasa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Andalan Perkasa Abadi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Andalan Perkasa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.38 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Andalan Perkasa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Andalan Perkasa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Andalan Perkasa Abadi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Andalan Perkasa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Andalan Perkasa has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
The company reported the revenue of 4.24 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.93 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.11 B. | |
About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Andalan Perkasa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Andalan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Andalan Perkasa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Andalan Perkasa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11 B | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 76.8 B |
Andalan Perkasa Technical Analysis
Andalan Perkasa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Andalan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Andalan Perkasa Abadi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Andalan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Andalan Perkasa Predictive Forecast Models
Andalan Perkasa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Andalan Perkasa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Andalan Perkasa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Andalan Perkasa Abadi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Andalan Perkasa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Andalan Perkasa Abadi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Andalan Perkasa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Andalan Perkasa has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
The company reported the revenue of 4.24 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.93 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.11 B. | |
About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Andalan Perkasa Backtesting, Andalan Perkasa Valuation, Andalan Perkasa Correlation, Andalan Perkasa Hype Analysis, Andalan Perkasa Volatility, Andalan Perkasa History as well as Andalan Perkasa Performance. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Complementary Tools for Andalan Stock analysis
When running Andalan Perkasa's price analysis, check to measure Andalan Perkasa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Andalan Perkasa is operating at the current time. Most of Andalan Perkasa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Andalan Perkasa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Andalan Perkasa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Andalan Perkasa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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