One Global Equity Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 38.26

ONEQ Stock  CAD 38.69  0.38  0.99%   
One Global's future price is the expected price of One Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of One Global Equity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out One Global Backtesting, One Global Valuation, One Global Correlation, One Global Hype Analysis, One Global Volatility, One Global History as well as One Global Performance.
  
Please specify One Global's target price for which you would like One Global odds to be computed.

One Global Target Price Odds to finish below 38.26

The tendency of One Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 38.26  or more in 90 days
 38.69 90 days 38.26 
about 49.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of One Global to drop to C$ 38.26  or more in 90 days from now is about 49.98 (This One Global Equity probability density function shows the probability of One Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of One Global Equity price to stay between C$ 38.26  and its current price of C$38.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon One Global Equity has a beta of -0.29. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding One Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, One Global Equity is likely to outperform the market. Additionally One Global Equity has an alpha of 0.0916, implying that it can generate a 0.0916 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   One Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for One Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as One Global Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of One Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.0638.6939.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.2431.8742.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.4939.1239.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38.3138.6038.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as One Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against One Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, One Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in One Global Equity.

One Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. One Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the One Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold One Global Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of One Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.09
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.94
Ir
Information ratio 0

One Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of One Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for One Global Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

One Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of One Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential One Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. One Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0155

One Global Technical Analysis

One Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. One Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of One Global Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing One Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

One Global Predictive Forecast Models

One Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many One Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary One Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about One Global Equity

Checking the ongoing alerts about One Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for One Global Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Check out One Global Backtesting, One Global Valuation, One Global Correlation, One Global Hype Analysis, One Global Volatility, One Global History as well as One Global Performance.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

Complementary Tools for One Stock analysis

When running One Global's price analysis, check to measure One Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy One Global is operating at the current time. Most of One Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of One Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move One Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of One Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between One Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if One Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, One Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.