THE PHILIPPINE (Philippines) Probability of Future Index Price Finishing Over 6566.82
| PSEI Index | 6,340 17.24 0.27% |
THE PHILIPPINE Target Price Odds to finish over 6566.82
The tendency of THE Index price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 6,567 or more in 90 days |
| 6,340 | 90 days | 6,567 | roughly 2.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of THE PHILIPPINE to move over 6,567 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.25 (This THE PHILIPPINE STOCK probability density function shows the probability of THE Index to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of THE PHILIPPINE STOCK price to stay between its current price of 6,340 and 6,567 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.2 .
THE PHILIPPINE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for THE PHILIPPINE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as THE PHILIPPINE STOCK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the index market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the index market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.THE PHILIPPINE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. THE PHILIPPINE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the THE PHILIPPINE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold THE PHILIPPINE STOCK, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of THE PHILIPPINE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.THE PHILIPPINE Technical Analysis
THE PHILIPPINE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. THE Index technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of THE PHILIPPINE STOCK. In general, you should focus on analyzing THE Index price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
THE PHILIPPINE Predictive Forecast Models
THE PHILIPPINE's time-series forecasting models is one of many THE PHILIPPINE's index analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary THE PHILIPPINE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the index market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards THE PHILIPPINE in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, THE PHILIPPINE's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from THE PHILIPPINE options trading.