R1 Rcm Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.02

RCM Stock  USD 12.38  0.02  0.16%   
R1 RCM's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on R1 RCM Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of R1 RCM based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in R1 RCM Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-17 CALL at $12.5 is a CALL option contract on R1 RCM's common stock with a strick price of 12.5 expiring on 2024-05-17. The contract was last traded on 2024-05-01 at 15:59:02 for $0.72 and, as of today, has 16 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.7, and an ask price of $2.0. The implied volatility as of the 2nd of May is 79.42. View All RCM options

Closest to current price RCM long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

R1 RCM's future price is the expected price of R1 RCM instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of R1 RCM Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out R1 RCM Backtesting, R1 RCM Valuation, R1 RCM Correlation, R1 RCM Hype Analysis, R1 RCM Volatility, R1 RCM History as well as R1 RCM Performance.
  
At this time, R1 RCM's Price Earnings Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 2nd of May 2024, Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to 13.66, while Price Book Value Ratio is likely to drop 1.53. Please specify R1 RCM's target price for which you would like R1 RCM odds to be computed.

R1 RCM Target Price Odds to finish over 12.02

The tendency of RCM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 12.02  in 90 days
 12.38 90 days 12.02 
about 58.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of R1 RCM to stay above $ 12.02  in 90 days from now is about 58.59 (This R1 RCM Inc probability density function shows the probability of RCM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of R1 RCM Inc price to stay between $ 12.02  and its current price of $12.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.06 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon R1 RCM has a beta of 0.97 indicating R1 RCM Inc market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, R1 RCM is expected to follow. Additionally R1 RCM Inc has an alpha of 0.2603, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   R1 RCM Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for R1 RCM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as R1 RCM Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of R1 RCM's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.6612.3215.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5515.2118.87
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.5721.5023.87
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.07-0.00250.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as R1 RCM. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against R1 RCM's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, R1 RCM's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in R1 RCM Inc.

R1 RCM Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. R1 RCM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the R1 RCM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold R1 RCM Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of R1 RCM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.26
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.97
σ
Overall volatility
1.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

R1 RCM Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of R1 RCM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for R1 RCM Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
R1 RCM Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
R1 RCM Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: R1 RCM to Present at the 2024 Bank of America Securities Health Care Conference

R1 RCM Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RCM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential R1 RCM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. R1 RCM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding454.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments173.6 M

R1 RCM Technical Analysis

R1 RCM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RCM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of R1 RCM Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing RCM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

R1 RCM Predictive Forecast Models

R1 RCM's time-series forecasting models is one of many R1 RCM's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary R1 RCM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about R1 RCM Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about R1 RCM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for R1 RCM Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
R1 RCM Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
R1 RCM Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: R1 RCM to Present at the 2024 Bank of America Securities Health Care Conference
When determining whether R1 RCM Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze R1 RCM's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact R1 RCM's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding RCM Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out R1 RCM Backtesting, R1 RCM Valuation, R1 RCM Correlation, R1 RCM Hype Analysis, R1 RCM Volatility, R1 RCM History as well as R1 RCM Performance.
Note that the R1 RCM Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other R1 RCM's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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When running R1 RCM's price analysis, check to measure R1 RCM's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy R1 RCM is operating at the current time. Most of R1 RCM's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of R1 RCM's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move R1 RCM's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of R1 RCM to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is R1 RCM's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of R1 RCM. If investors know RCM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about R1 RCM listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.99)
Earnings Share
0.01
Revenue Per Share
5.385
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.078
Return On Assets
0.0329
The market value of R1 RCM Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RCM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of R1 RCM's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is R1 RCM's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because R1 RCM's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect R1 RCM's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between R1 RCM's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if R1 RCM is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, R1 RCM's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.