JHS Svendgaard (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 28.20

RETAIL Stock   35.31  0.69  1.92%   
JHS Svendgaard's future price is the expected price of JHS Svendgaard instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of JHS Svendgaard Retail performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out JHS Svendgaard Backtesting, JHS Svendgaard Valuation, JHS Svendgaard Correlation, JHS Svendgaard Hype Analysis, JHS Svendgaard Volatility, JHS Svendgaard History as well as JHS Svendgaard Performance.
  
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JHS Svendgaard Target Price Odds to finish below 28.20

The tendency of JHS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  28.20  or more in 90 days
 35.31 90 days 28.20 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JHS Svendgaard to drop to  28.20  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This JHS Svendgaard Retail probability density function shows the probability of JHS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JHS Svendgaard Retail price to stay between  28.20  and its current price of 35.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JHS Svendgaard has a beta of 0.33 indicating as returns on the market go up, JHS Svendgaard average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JHS Svendgaard Retail will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JHS Svendgaard Retail has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   JHS Svendgaard Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for JHS Svendgaard

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JHS Svendgaard Retail. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.3935.1837.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.9730.7638.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.5435.3338.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.0435.8043.56
Details

JHS Svendgaard Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JHS Svendgaard is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JHS Svendgaard's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JHS Svendgaard Retail, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JHS Svendgaard within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
2.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

JHS Svendgaard Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JHS Svendgaard for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JHS Svendgaard Retail can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JHS Svendgaard generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: JHS Svendgaard Retail Ventures Limited Expands into New Market - Rapid portfolio appreciation - jammulinksnews.com

JHS Svendgaard Technical Analysis

JHS Svendgaard's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JHS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JHS Svendgaard Retail. In general, you should focus on analyzing JHS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

JHS Svendgaard Predictive Forecast Models

JHS Svendgaard's time-series forecasting models is one of many JHS Svendgaard's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JHS Svendgaard's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about JHS Svendgaard Retail

Checking the ongoing alerts about JHS Svendgaard for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JHS Svendgaard Retail help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JHS Svendgaard generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: JHS Svendgaard Retail Ventures Limited Expands into New Market - Rapid portfolio appreciation - jammulinksnews.com

Other Information on Investing in JHS Stock

JHS Svendgaard financial ratios help investors to determine whether JHS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JHS with respect to the benefits of owning JHS Svendgaard security.