Thorchain Probability of Future Crypto Coin Price Finishing Under 0.07
| RUNE Crypto | USD 1.66 0.04 2.47% |
Thorchain |
Thorchain Target Price Odds to finish below 0.07
The tendency of Thorchain Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.07 or more in 90 days |
| 1.66 | 90 days | 0.07 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thorchain to drop to $ 0.07 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Thorchain probability density function shows the probability of Thorchain Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thorchain price to stay between $ 0.07 and its current price of $1.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Thorchain has a beta of -0.28 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Thorchain are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Thorchain is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Thorchain has an alpha of 0.7247, implying that it can generate a 0.72 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Thorchain Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Thorchain
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thorchain. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Thorchain Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thorchain is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thorchain's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thorchain, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thorchain within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Thorchain Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thorchain for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thorchain can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Thorchain had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Thorchain may become a speculative penny crypto | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: FTXs Chinese Customers in Limbo Over Local Crypto Crackdown - WSJ |
Thorchain Technical Analysis
Thorchain's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thorchain Crypto Coin technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thorchain. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thorchain Crypto Coin price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Thorchain Predictive Forecast Models
Thorchain's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thorchain's crypto coin analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thorchain's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the crypto coin market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Thorchain
Checking the ongoing alerts about Thorchain for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thorchain help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Thorchain had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Thorchain may become a speculative penny crypto | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: FTXs Chinese Customers in Limbo Over Local Crypto Crackdown - WSJ |
Check out Thorchain Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Thorchain Correlation, Cryptocurrency Center, Thorchain Volatility, Thorchain History as well as Thorchain Performance. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.