Sampo Oyj (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 40.28

SAMPO Stock  EUR 38.04  0.23  0.61%   
Sampo Oyj's future price is the expected price of Sampo Oyj instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sampo Oyj A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sampo Oyj Backtesting, Sampo Oyj Valuation, Sampo Oyj Correlation, Sampo Oyj Hype Analysis, Sampo Oyj Volatility, Sampo Oyj History as well as Sampo Oyj Performance.
  
Please specify Sampo Oyj's target price for which you would like Sampo Oyj odds to be computed.

Sampo Oyj Target Price Odds to finish over 40.28

The tendency of Sampo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 40.28  or more in 90 days
 38.04 90 days 40.28 
about 39.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sampo Oyj to move over € 40.28  or more in 90 days from now is about 39.4 (This Sampo Oyj A probability density function shows the probability of Sampo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sampo Oyj A price to stay between its current price of € 38.04  and € 40.28  at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sampo Oyj has a beta of 0.16. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sampo Oyj average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sampo Oyj A will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sampo Oyj A has an alpha of 0.0292, implying that it can generate a 0.0292 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sampo Oyj Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sampo Oyj

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sampo Oyj A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sampo Oyj's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.1538.0438.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.2638.1539.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sampo Oyj. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sampo Oyj's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sampo Oyj's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sampo Oyj A.

Sampo Oyj Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sampo Oyj is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sampo Oyj's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sampo Oyj A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sampo Oyj within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.93
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Sampo Oyj Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sampo Oyj for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sampo Oyj A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 4.22 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 37.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sampo Oyj A has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sampo Oyj until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sampo Oyj's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sampo Oyj A sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sampo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sampo Oyj's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Sampo Oyj Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sampo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sampo Oyj's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sampo Oyj's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding546.8 M

Sampo Oyj Technical Analysis

Sampo Oyj's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sampo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sampo Oyj A. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sampo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sampo Oyj Predictive Forecast Models

Sampo Oyj's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sampo Oyj's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sampo Oyj's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sampo Oyj A

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sampo Oyj for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sampo Oyj A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 4.22 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 37.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sampo Oyj A has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sampo Oyj until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sampo Oyj's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sampo Oyj A sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sampo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sampo Oyj's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Check out Sampo Oyj Backtesting, Sampo Oyj Valuation, Sampo Oyj Correlation, Sampo Oyj Hype Analysis, Sampo Oyj Volatility, Sampo Oyj History as well as Sampo Oyj Performance.
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When running Sampo Oyj's price analysis, check to measure Sampo Oyj's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sampo Oyj is operating at the current time. Most of Sampo Oyj's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sampo Oyj's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sampo Oyj's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sampo Oyj to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Sampo Oyj's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sampo Oyj is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sampo Oyj's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.