Gaya Abadi (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 60.0
| SLIS Stock | IDR 57.00 3.00 5.00% |
Gaya |
Gaya Abadi Target Price Odds to finish below 60.0
The tendency of Gaya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 60.00 after 90 days |
| 57.00 | 90 days | 60.00 | about 51.46 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gaya Abadi to stay under 60.00 after 90 days from now is about 51.46 (This Gaya Abadi Sempurna probability density function shows the probability of Gaya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gaya Abadi Sempurna price to stay between its current price of 57.00 and 60.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gaya Abadi Sempurna has a beta of -0.86. This usually implies Additionally Gaya Abadi Sempurna has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Gaya Abadi Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gaya Abadi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gaya Abadi Sempurna. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gaya Abadi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gaya Abadi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gaya Abadi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gaya Abadi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gaya Abadi Sempurna, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gaya Abadi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Gaya Abadi Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gaya Abadi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gaya Abadi Sempurna can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gaya Abadi Sempurna generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gaya Abadi Sempurna has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Gaya Abadi Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gaya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gaya Abadi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gaya Abadi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.2 B |
Gaya Abadi Technical Analysis
Gaya Abadi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gaya Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gaya Abadi Sempurna. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gaya Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gaya Abadi Predictive Forecast Models
Gaya Abadi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gaya Abadi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gaya Abadi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gaya Abadi Sempurna
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gaya Abadi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gaya Abadi Sempurna help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gaya Abadi Sempurna generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gaya Abadi Sempurna has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Gaya Abadi Backtesting, Gaya Abadi Valuation, Gaya Abadi Correlation, Gaya Abadi Hype Analysis, Gaya Abadi Volatility, Gaya Abadi History as well as Gaya Abadi Performance. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Complementary Tools for Gaya Stock analysis
When running Gaya Abadi's price analysis, check to measure Gaya Abadi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gaya Abadi is operating at the current time. Most of Gaya Abadi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gaya Abadi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gaya Abadi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gaya Abadi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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