Seneca Financial Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 9.8
| SNNF Stock | USD 9.78 0.02 0.20% |
Seneca |
Seneca Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 9.8
The tendency of Seneca Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 9.80 after 90 days |
| 9.78 | 90 days | 9.80 | about 12.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seneca Financial to stay under $ 9.80 after 90 days from now is about 12.35 (This Seneca Financial Corp probability density function shows the probability of Seneca Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Seneca Financial Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 9.78 and $ 9.80 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Seneca Financial Corp has a beta of -0.45. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Seneca Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Seneca Financial Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Seneca Financial Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Seneca Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Seneca Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seneca Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Seneca Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seneca Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seneca Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seneca Financial Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seneca Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Seneca Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seneca Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seneca Financial Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Seneca Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Seneca Financial Technical Analysis
Seneca Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seneca Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seneca Financial Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seneca Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Seneca Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Seneca Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seneca Financial's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seneca Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Seneca Financial Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Seneca Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seneca Financial Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Seneca Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Seneca Pink Sheet
Seneca Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Seneca Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Seneca with respect to the benefits of owning Seneca Financial security.