Servet Gayrimenkul (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 308.75
| SRVGY Stock | TRY 292.75 0.50 0.17% |
Servet |
Servet Gayrimenkul Target Price Odds to finish below 308.75
The tendency of Servet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 308.75 after 90 days |
| 292.75 | 90 days | 308.75 | about 42.23 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Servet Gayrimenkul to stay under 308.75 after 90 days from now is about 42.23 (This Servet Gayrimenkul Yatirim probability density function shows the probability of Servet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Servet Gayrimenkul price to stay between its current price of 292.75 and 308.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Servet Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a beta of -1.02. This usually implies Additionally Servet Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Servet Gayrimenkul Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Servet Gayrimenkul
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Servet Gayrimenkul. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Servet Gayrimenkul's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Servet Gayrimenkul Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Servet Gayrimenkul is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Servet Gayrimenkul's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Servet Gayrimenkul Yatirim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Servet Gayrimenkul within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -1.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 22.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Servet Gayrimenkul Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Servet Gayrimenkul for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Servet Gayrimenkul can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Servet Gayrimenkul generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Servet Gayrimenkul has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Servet Gayrimenkul Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Servet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Servet Gayrimenkul's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Servet Gayrimenkul's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52 M |
Servet Gayrimenkul Technical Analysis
Servet Gayrimenkul's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Servet Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Servet Gayrimenkul Yatirim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Servet Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Servet Gayrimenkul Predictive Forecast Models
Servet Gayrimenkul's time-series forecasting models is one of many Servet Gayrimenkul's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Servet Gayrimenkul's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Servet Gayrimenkul
Checking the ongoing alerts about Servet Gayrimenkul for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Servet Gayrimenkul help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Servet Gayrimenkul generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Servet Gayrimenkul has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Servet Gayrimenkul Backtesting, Servet Gayrimenkul Valuation, Servet Gayrimenkul Correlation, Servet Gayrimenkul Hype Analysis, Servet Gayrimenkul Volatility, Servet Gayrimenkul History as well as Servet Gayrimenkul Performance. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Complementary Tools for Servet Stock analysis
When running Servet Gayrimenkul's price analysis, check to measure Servet Gayrimenkul's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Servet Gayrimenkul is operating at the current time. Most of Servet Gayrimenkul's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Servet Gayrimenkul's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Servet Gayrimenkul's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Servet Gayrimenkul to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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