Tinybuild (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.82
TBLD Stock | 5.88 0.12 2.00% |
Tinybuild |
Tinybuild Target Price Odds to finish over 5.82
The tendency of Tinybuild Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 5.82 in 90 days |
5.88 | 90 days | 5.82 | about 15.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tinybuild to stay above 5.82 in 90 days from now is about 15.87 (This Tinybuild probability density function shows the probability of Tinybuild Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tinybuild price to stay between 5.82 and its current price of 5.88 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tinybuild has a beta of 0.0752. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tinybuild average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tinybuild will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tinybuild has an alpha of 0.0971, implying that it can generate a 0.0971 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Tinybuild Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Tinybuild
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tinybuild. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tinybuild Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tinybuild is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tinybuild's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tinybuild, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tinybuild within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Tinybuild Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tinybuild for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tinybuild can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.The company reported the revenue of 34.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.59 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (334 K). | |
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Tinybuild Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tinybuild Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tinybuild's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tinybuild's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 383.5 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.1 M |
Tinybuild Technical Analysis
Tinybuild's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tinybuild Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tinybuild. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tinybuild Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tinybuild Predictive Forecast Models
Tinybuild's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tinybuild's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tinybuild's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tinybuild
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tinybuild for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tinybuild help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 34.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.59 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (334 K). | |
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Tinybuild Stock Analysis
When running Tinybuild's price analysis, check to measure Tinybuild's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tinybuild is operating at the current time. Most of Tinybuild's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tinybuild's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tinybuild's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tinybuild to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.