Track Field (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.24
| TFCO4 Stock | BRL 13.89 0.20 1.42% |
Track |
Track Field Target Price Odds to finish over 16.24
The tendency of Track Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 16.24 or more in 90 days |
| 13.89 | 90 days | 16.24 | nearly 4.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Track Field to move over R$ 16.24 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.09 (This Track Field Co probability density function shows the probability of Track Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Track Field price to stay between its current price of R$ 13.89 and R$ 16.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Track Field has a beta of 0.89. This usually implies Track Field Co market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Track Field is expected to follow. Additionally Track Field Co has an alpha of 0.2923, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Track Field Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Track Field
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Track Field. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Track Field Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Track Field is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Track Field's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Track Field Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Track Field within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Track Field Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Track Field for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Track Field can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Track Field Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Track Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Track Field's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Track Field's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 930.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 66.8 M |
Track Field Technical Analysis
Track Field's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Track Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Track Field Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Track Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Track Field Predictive Forecast Models
Track Field's time-series forecasting models is one of many Track Field's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Track Field's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Track Field
Checking the ongoing alerts about Track Field for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Track Field help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Track Stock Analysis
When running Track Field's price analysis, check to measure Track Field's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Track Field is operating at the current time. Most of Track Field's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Track Field's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Track Field's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Track Field to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.