Third Point (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1833.98
| TPOS Stock | 1,852 2.50 0.13% |
Third |
Third Point Target Price Odds to finish over 1833.98
The tendency of Third Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 1,834 in 90 days |
| 1,852 | 90 days | 1,834 | about 61.83 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Third Point to stay above 1,834 in 90 days from now is about 61.83 (This Third Point Investors probability density function shows the probability of Third Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Third Point Investors price to stay between 1,834 and its current price of 1852.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Third Point has a beta of 0.12. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Third Point average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Third Point Investors will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Third Point Investors has an alpha of 0.0397, implying that it can generate a 0.0397 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Third Point Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Third Point
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Third Point Investors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Third Point Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Third Point is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Third Point's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Third Point Investors, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Third Point within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 30.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Third Point Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Third Point for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Third Point Investors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 146.69 M. Net Loss for the year was (253.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 146.69 M. |
Third Point Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Third Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Third Point's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Third Point's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.7 M |
Third Point Technical Analysis
Third Point's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Third Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Third Point Investors. In general, you should focus on analyzing Third Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Third Point Predictive Forecast Models
Third Point's time-series forecasting models is one of many Third Point's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Third Point's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Third Point Investors
Checking the ongoing alerts about Third Point for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Third Point Investors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 146.69 M. Net Loss for the year was (253.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 146.69 M. |
Additional Tools for Third Stock Analysis
When running Third Point's price analysis, check to measure Third Point's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Third Point is operating at the current time. Most of Third Point's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Third Point's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Third Point's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Third Point to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.