Ulaslar Turizm (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22.54

ULAS Stock  TRY 22.54  0.04  0.18%   
Ulaslar Turizm's future price is the expected price of Ulaslar Turizm instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ulaslar Turizm Yatirimlari performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ulaslar Turizm Backtesting, Ulaslar Turizm Valuation, Ulaslar Turizm Correlation, Ulaslar Turizm Hype Analysis, Ulaslar Turizm Volatility, Ulaslar Turizm History as well as Ulaslar Turizm Performance.
  
Please specify Ulaslar Turizm's target price for which you would like Ulaslar Turizm odds to be computed.

Ulaslar Turizm Target Price Odds to finish over 22.54

The tendency of Ulaslar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 22.54 90 days 22.54 
about 74.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ulaslar Turizm to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 74.44 (This Ulaslar Turizm Yatirimlari probability density function shows the probability of Ulaslar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ulaslar Turizm Yatirimlari has a beta of -0.0583. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ulaslar Turizm are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ulaslar Turizm Yatirimlari is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ulaslar Turizm Yatirimlari has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ulaslar Turizm Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ulaslar Turizm

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ulaslar Turizm Yatir. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.1922.5425.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.2019.5522.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.4221.7725.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.6122.3423.06
Details

Ulaslar Turizm Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ulaslar Turizm is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ulaslar Turizm's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ulaslar Turizm Yatirimlari, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ulaslar Turizm within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Ulaslar Turizm Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ulaslar Turizm for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ulaslar Turizm Yatir can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ulaslar Turizm Yatir generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ulaslar Turizm Yatir has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Ulaslar Turizm Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ulaslar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ulaslar Turizm's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ulaslar Turizm's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.4 M

Ulaslar Turizm Technical Analysis

Ulaslar Turizm's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ulaslar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ulaslar Turizm Yatirimlari. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ulaslar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ulaslar Turizm Predictive Forecast Models

Ulaslar Turizm's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ulaslar Turizm's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ulaslar Turizm's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ulaslar Turizm Yatir

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ulaslar Turizm for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ulaslar Turizm Yatir help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ulaslar Turizm Yatir generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ulaslar Turizm Yatir has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Additional Tools for Ulaslar Stock Analysis

When running Ulaslar Turizm's price analysis, check to measure Ulaslar Turizm's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ulaslar Turizm is operating at the current time. Most of Ulaslar Turizm's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ulaslar Turizm's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ulaslar Turizm's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ulaslar Turizm to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.