Unilever Indonesia (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2620.0
| UNVR Stock | IDR 2,590 10.00 0.38% |
Unilever |
Unilever Indonesia Target Price Odds to finish over 2620.0
The tendency of Unilever Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 2,620 or more in 90 days |
| 2,590 | 90 days | 2,620 | about 75.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Unilever Indonesia to move over 2,620 or more in 90 days from now is about 75.02 (This Unilever Indonesia Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Unilever Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Unilever Indonesia Tbk price to stay between its current price of 2,590 and 2,620 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Unilever Indonesia has a beta of 0.74. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Unilever Indonesia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Unilever Indonesia Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Unilever Indonesia Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Unilever Indonesia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Unilever Indonesia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Unilever Indonesia Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Unilever Indonesia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Unilever Indonesia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Unilever Indonesia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Unilever Indonesia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Unilever Indonesia Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Unilever Indonesia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.39 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 254.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Unilever Indonesia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Unilever Indonesia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Unilever Indonesia Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Unilever Indonesia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Unilever Indonesia has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company has accumulated 803.62 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.18, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Unilever Indonesia Tbk has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Unilever Indonesia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Unilever Indonesia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Unilever Indonesia Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Unilever to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Unilever Indonesia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 85.0% of Unilever Indonesia outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Unilever Indonesia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Unilever Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Unilever Indonesia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Unilever Indonesia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.1 B |
Unilever Indonesia Technical Analysis
Unilever Indonesia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Unilever Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Unilever Indonesia Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Unilever Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Unilever Indonesia Predictive Forecast Models
Unilever Indonesia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Unilever Indonesia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Unilever Indonesia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Unilever Indonesia Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Unilever Indonesia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Unilever Indonesia Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Unilever Indonesia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Unilever Indonesia has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company has accumulated 803.62 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.18, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Unilever Indonesia Tbk has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Unilever Indonesia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Unilever Indonesia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Unilever Indonesia Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Unilever to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Unilever Indonesia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 85.0% of Unilever Indonesia outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Check out Unilever Indonesia Backtesting, Unilever Indonesia Valuation, Unilever Indonesia Correlation, Unilever Indonesia Hype Analysis, Unilever Indonesia Volatility, Unilever Indonesia History as well as Unilever Indonesia Performance. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
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When running Unilever Indonesia's price analysis, check to measure Unilever Indonesia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Unilever Indonesia is operating at the current time. Most of Unilever Indonesia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Unilever Indonesia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Unilever Indonesia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Unilever Indonesia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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