Urban Jakarta (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 130.0
| URBN Stock | 132.00 3.00 2.33% |
Urban |
Urban Jakarta Target Price Odds to finish below 130.0
The tendency of Urban Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 130.00 or more in 90 days |
| 132.00 | 90 days | 130.00 | about 23.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Urban Jakarta to drop to 130.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 23.48 (This Urban Jakarta Propertindo probability density function shows the probability of Urban Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Urban Jakarta Propertindo price to stay between 130.00 and its current price of 132.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Urban Jakarta has a beta of 0.42. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Urban Jakarta average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Urban Jakarta Propertindo will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Urban Jakarta Propertindo has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Urban Jakarta Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Urban Jakarta
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Urban Jakarta Propertindo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Urban Jakarta's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Urban Jakarta Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Urban Jakarta is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Urban Jakarta's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Urban Jakarta Propertindo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Urban Jakarta within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Urban Jakarta Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Urban Jakarta for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Urban Jakarta Propertindo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Urban Jakarta generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Urban Jakarta Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Urban Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Urban Jakarta's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Urban Jakarta's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 154 B |
Urban Jakarta Technical Analysis
Urban Jakarta's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Urban Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Urban Jakarta Propertindo. In general, you should focus on analyzing Urban Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Urban Jakarta Predictive Forecast Models
Urban Jakarta's time-series forecasting models is one of many Urban Jakarta's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Urban Jakarta's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Urban Jakarta Propertindo
Checking the ongoing alerts about Urban Jakarta for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Urban Jakarta Propertindo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Urban Jakarta generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Check out Urban Jakarta Backtesting, Urban Jakarta Valuation, Urban Jakarta Correlation, Urban Jakarta Hype Analysis, Urban Jakarta Volatility, Urban Jakarta History as well as Urban Jakarta Performance. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Complementary Tools for Urban Stock analysis
When running Urban Jakarta's price analysis, check to measure Urban Jakarta's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Urban Jakarta is operating at the current time. Most of Urban Jakarta's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Urban Jakarta's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Urban Jakarta's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Urban Jakarta to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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