Vakif Finansal (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.25
| VAKFN Stock | TRY 3.12 0.05 1.63% |
Vakif |
Vakif Finansal Target Price Odds to finish over 3.25
The tendency of Vakif Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 3.25 or more in 90 days |
| 3.12 | 90 days | 3.25 | about 46.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vakif Finansal to move over 3.25 or more in 90 days from now is about 46.27 (This Vakif Finansal Kiralama probability density function shows the probability of Vakif Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vakif Finansal Kiralama price to stay between its current price of 3.12 and 3.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vakif Finansal Kiralama has a beta of -0.77. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vakif Finansal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vakif Finansal Kiralama is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vakif Finansal Kiralama has an alpha of 0.4002, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vakif Finansal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vakif Finansal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vakif Finansal Kiralama. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vakif Finansal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vakif Finansal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vakif Finansal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vakif Finansal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vakif Finansal Kiralama, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vakif Finansal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.40 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Vakif Finansal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vakif Finansal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vakif Finansal Kiralama can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vakif Finansal had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Vakif Finansal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vakif Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vakif Finansal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vakif Finansal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.9 B |
Vakif Finansal Technical Analysis
Vakif Finansal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vakif Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vakif Finansal Kiralama. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vakif Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vakif Finansal Predictive Forecast Models
Vakif Finansal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vakif Finansal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vakif Finansal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vakif Finansal Kiralama
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vakif Finansal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vakif Finansal Kiralama help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vakif Finansal had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Check out Vakif Finansal Backtesting, Vakif Finansal Valuation, Vakif Finansal Correlation, Vakif Finansal Hype Analysis, Vakif Finansal Volatility, Vakif Finansal History as well as Vakif Finansal Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Complementary Tools for Vakif Stock analysis
When running Vakif Finansal's price analysis, check to measure Vakif Finansal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vakif Finansal is operating at the current time. Most of Vakif Finansal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vakif Finansal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vakif Finansal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vakif Finansal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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