Varia Properties (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.12
| VARN Stock | CHF 20.10 0.55 2.81% |
Varia |
Varia Properties Target Price Odds to finish over 24.12
The tendency of Varia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over ₣ 24.12 or more in 90 days |
| 20.10 | 90 days | 24.12 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Varia Properties to move over ₣ 24.12 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Varia Properties probability density function shows the probability of Varia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Varia Properties price to stay between its current price of ₣ 20.10 and ₣ 24.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Varia Properties has a beta of 0.0655. This entails as returns on the market go up, Varia Properties average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Varia Properties will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Varia Properties has an alpha of 0.0043, implying that it can generate a 0.00432 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Varia Properties Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Varia Properties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Varia Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Varia Properties Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Varia Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Varia Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Varia Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Varia Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Varia Properties Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Varia Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Varia Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Varia Properties has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Varia Properties Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Varia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Varia Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Varia Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 80.4 M |
Varia Properties Technical Analysis
Varia Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Varia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Varia Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Varia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Varia Properties Predictive Forecast Models
Varia Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Varia Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Varia Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Varia Properties
Checking the ongoing alerts about Varia Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Varia Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Varia Properties has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Additional Tools for Varia Stock Analysis
When running Varia Properties' price analysis, check to measure Varia Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Varia Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Varia Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Varia Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Varia Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Varia Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.