Vacasa Inc Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.92
| VCSADelisted Stock | USD 5.39 0.00 0.00% |
Vacasa |
Vacasa Target Price Odds to finish below 3.92
The tendency of Vacasa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 3.92 or more in 90 days |
| 5.39 | 90 days | 3.92 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vacasa to drop to $ 3.92 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vacasa Inc probability density function shows the probability of Vacasa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vacasa Inc price to stay between $ 3.92 and its current price of $5.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.71 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vacasa Inc has a beta of -0.0406. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vacasa are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vacasa Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vacasa Inc has an alpha of 0.1041, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vacasa Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vacasa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vacasa Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vacasa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vacasa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vacasa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vacasa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vacasa Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vacasa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Vacasa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vacasa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vacasa Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vacasa Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Vacasa Inc currently holds 139.23 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.03, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Vacasa Inc has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Vacasa's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 910.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (154.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 483.5 M. | |
| Vacasa Inc currently holds about 319.25 M in cash with (110.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.41. | |
| Roughly 71.0% of Vacasa outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Vacasa Stockholders Approve Merger with Casago |
Vacasa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vacasa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vacasa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vacasa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 88.5 M |
Vacasa Technical Analysis
Vacasa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vacasa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vacasa Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vacasa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vacasa Predictive Forecast Models
Vacasa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vacasa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vacasa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vacasa Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vacasa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vacasa Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vacasa Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Vacasa Inc currently holds 139.23 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.03, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Vacasa Inc has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Vacasa's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 910.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (154.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 483.5 M. | |
| Vacasa Inc currently holds about 319.25 M in cash with (110.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.41. | |
| Roughly 71.0% of Vacasa outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Vacasa Stockholders Approve Merger with Casago |
Check out Vacasa Backtesting, Vacasa Valuation, Vacasa Correlation, Vacasa Hype Analysis, Vacasa Volatility, Vacasa History as well as Vacasa Performance. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Other Consideration for investing in Vacasa Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Vacasa Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Vacasa's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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